October data for the US show annual inflation remained above pre-pandemic averages with the downward trend seen since mid-2022 stalling. Between August 2024 and August 2025, prices for US consumers grew by 2.9% and prices for CA consumers grew by 3.3%. The growth in overall prices since mid-2025 has included a modest increase in the prices for consumer goods in addition to rising prices for services. Consumer expectations about inflation in the next one to five years remain elevated above pre-2025 levels.
Based on the most recent economic data, we now estimate that annual inflation will drop to about 4 percent by the second quarter of 2023.
We discuss our new economic outlook, released as part of our response to the Governor's 2017 May Revision.
We discuss the state's economic outlook, including the administration's assessment of the near-term economic outlook in the Governor's May Revision to his 2016-17 budget proposal.
A spike in gas prices contributed to Los Angeles-area consumer prices rising substantially faster than the nation as a whole in July, according to new federal data.
Consumer price index (CPI) data for all of 2014 is now available.
Inflation in the U.S. economy was very low in late 2014, and further drops in prices are possible in early 2015. We discuss both the risks and benefits of low price growth.