May 2023

Proposition 98 Overview

Comparing LAO and May Revision Estimates of the Proposition 98 Guarantee

Dollars in Millions

  2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27
May Revision          
General Fund $78,115 $77,435a $79,733 $81,548 $83,828
Local property tax 28,656 29,404 30,284 31,260 32,510
   Totals $106,771 $106,839 $110,017 $112,808 $116,339
LAO May Outlook          
General Fund $75,623 $76,469a $79,982 $82,289 $89,149
Local property tax 29,292 30,854 31,881 33,245 34,823
   Totals $104,916 $107,324 $111,863 $115,534 $123,972
Change (From May Revision to LAO May)    
General Fund -$2,492 -$965 $249 $741 $5,321
Local property tax 637 1,450 1,597 1,985 2,312
   Totals -$1,855 $485 $1,846 $2,726 $7,633
           
a Excludes supplemental payment attributable to Proposition 28 (2022). In subsequent years, this adjustment is incorporated into the minimum guarantee.