May 2023

Proposition 98 Overview

Proposition 98 Key Inputs and Outcomes Under May Revision

Dollars in Millions

  2021-22 2022-23 2023-24
Minimum Guarantee      
General Fund $83,754 $78,115 $77,435a
Local property tax 26,800 28,656 29,404
   Totals $110,554 $106,771 $106,839
Change From Prior Year      
General Fund $13,549 -$5,638 -$680
   Percent change 19.3% -6.7% -0.9%
Local property tax $932 $1,856 $748
   Percent change 3.6% 6.9% 2.6%
Total guarantee $14,481 -$3,783 $68
   Percent change 15.1% -3.4% 0.1%
Inputs      
General Fund taxesb $220,312 $204,533 $201,213
K-12 average daily attendance 5,349,982 5,356,421 5,371,161
Growth Factors      
K-12 average daily attendance -8.9% 0.1% 0.3%
Per capita personal income 5.7% 7.6% 4.4%
Per capita General Fundc 19.8% -6.2% -0.8%
Operative Test 1 1 1
Proposition 98 Reserve      
Deposit/withdrawal (+/-) $4,840 $1,795 $748
Balance 8,142 9,936 10,684
       
a Excludes $933 million supplemental payment associated with Proposition 28 (2022).
b Excludes nontax revenues and transfers, which do not affect the calculation of the guarantee.
c Reflects per capita General Fund plus 0.5 percent (one of the Test 3 factors).
 Note: No maintenance factor is created or paid over the period.