LAO Contacts
February 10, 2026
Budget Decisions for Environment‑Related Programs Affected by State’s Fiscal Challenges. Consideration of the Governor’s specific natural resources, environmental protection, and agriculture proposals must take place against the backdrop of the larger budget condition and context. The Governor’s January budget proposal is roughly balanced—yet it is predicated on projections that state revenues will remain on their current trend and does not incorporate the risk of a stock market downturn, which we believe is elevated. Moreover, both the administration and our office project significant and persistent structural deficits undergirding the state’s budget and threatening California’s fiscal stability. This report is intended to help the Legislature consider how to approach funding its environment‑related programs within this larger context.
Administration Clearly Used Judicious Approach in Crafting 2026‑27 Environment Budget, but Even Justifiable Proposals Come With Trade‑Offs. While we have concerns about the overall budget structure, the administration deserves credit for how it crafted its proposals for natural resources, environmental protection, and agriculture. Specifically, the Governor’s budget contains a limited amount of new spending for these departments, and most of the proposals are primarily focused on responding to near‑term risks. The Legislature may find it needs to approve some level of new expenditures—even from the General Fund—such as to address pressing health and safety concerns. However, in the context of a budget deficit, any new spending from the General Fund will essentially come at the expense of existing expenditures. While new spending proposals from special funds do not have a direct General Fund impact, in some cases the Legislature can use special funds to help address its budget problem, so we recommend using a discerning set of standards when evaluating all new spending proposals, regardless of fund source.
Recommended Framework for Approaching Environment Budget Decisions. In light of projected deficits and the need to balance new commitments against existing program obligations, we offer the following criteria the Legislature could use in reviewing the Governor’s new environment‑related spending proposals and in crafting its overall budget. (Within this report we provide examples of how the Legislature might apply these criteria to specific proposals.)
The backdrop against which the Legislature must consider 2026‑27 funding levels for natural resources, environmental protection, and agriculture programs is somewhat ominous. The Governor’s January budget proposal is roughly balanced—yet it is predicated on projections that state revenues will remain on their current trend and does not incorporate the risk of a stock market downturn, which we believe is elevated. Moreover, both the administration and our office project significant and persistent structural deficits undergirding the state’s budget and threatening California’s fiscal stability.
This report is intended to help the Legislature consider how to approach funding the state’s environment‑related programs within this larger context. This report has three main sections. We begin with a funding overview, detailing the funding levels the Governor proposes for departments within the California Natural Resources Agency (CNRA) and California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA), as well as for the California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA). Next, we provide overarching comments and important considerations for the Legislature to keep in mind as it weighs the Governor’s proposals for these departments. We then offer a framework for approaching environment‑related budget decisions given the challenging fiscal circumstances—namely, how to evaluate the Governor’s new spending proposals across CNRA, CalEPA, and CDFA within the context of a General Fund condition that is only precariously balanced in the near term and faces significant deficits in the coming years.
This report touches on many—though not all—of the Governor’s budget proposals for these departments, in order to illustrate the approach the Legislature could take in crafting its budget. In addition, please see our two companion reports, The 2026‑27 Budget: Cap‑and‑Invest Expenditure Plan, and The 2026‑27 Budget: Proposition 4 Spending Plan, for a more detailed discussion of proposals from those specific funding sources.
Budget Proposes Total of $18.9 Billion for Natural Resources, Environmental Protection, and Agriculture Departments in 2026‑27. Figure 1, Figure 2, and Figure 3 provide a summary of the Governor’s proposed funding levels for departments within CNRA and CalEPA and for CDFA, respectively.
Figure 1
Natural Resources Expenditures Summary
(Dollars in Millions)
|
2024‑25 |
2025‑26 |
2026‑27 |
|
|
Totals |
$16,363 |
$18,395 |
$12,812 |
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By Department |
|||
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Forestry and Fire Protectiona |
$5,174 |
$4,719 |
$5,018 |
|
Water Resourcesb |
3,811 |
4,407 |
2,652 |
|
Energy Commission |
2,825 |
1,422 |
431 |
|
General obligation bond debt service |
1,315 |
1,564 |
1,720 |
|
Parks and Recreation |
936 |
1,979 |
840 |
|
Fish and Wildlife |
757 |
719 |
677 |
|
Wildlife Conservation Board |
273 |
876 |
224 |
|
Conservation |
231 |
402 |
339 |
|
Coastal Conservancy |
230 |
577 |
93 |
|
Natural Resources Agency |
219 |
765 |
178 |
|
Conservation Corps |
181 |
216 |
213 |
|
State Lands Commission |
70 |
73 |
47 |
|
Other resources programsc |
342 |
674 |
379 |
|
By Funding Source |
|||
|
General Fund |
$7,641 |
$6,741 |
$4,905 |
|
Special funds |
6,757 |
6,344 |
5,853 |
|
Federal funds |
1,155 |
1,235 |
424 |
|
Bond funds |
810 |
4,074 |
1,631 |
|
aIncludes reimbursements the department receives from work it does on behalf of other entities. bIncludes funding from contractors of the State Water Project that is continuously appropriated to the department. cIncludes state conservancies, the California Coastal Commission, and other departments. |
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Figure 2
Environmental Protection Expenditures Summary
(Dollars in Millions)
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2024‑25 |
2025‑26 |
2026‑27 |
|
|
Totals |
$6,031 |
$5,950 |
$5,460 |
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By Department |
|||
|
Water Resources Control Board |
$2,054 |
$2,157 |
$1,737 |
|
CalRecycle |
2,003 |
2,086 |
1,957 |
|
Air Resources Board |
1,356 |
1,002 |
1,147 |
|
Toxic Substances Control |
448 |
504 |
427 |
|
Pesticide Regulation |
143 |
168 |
163 |
|
Other departmentsa |
27 |
32 |
29 |
|
By Funding Source |
|||
|
Special funds |
$4,859 |
$4,603 |
$4,413 |
|
Federal funds |
531 |
624 |
635 |
|
General Fund |
445 |
271 |
115 |
|
Bond funds |
196 |
452 |
297 |
|
aIncludes the Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, and general obligation bond debt service. |
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CalRecycle = California Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery. |
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Figure 3
California Department of Food and
Agriculture Expenditures Summary
(Dollars in Millions)
|
2024‑25 |
2025‑26 |
2026‑27 |
|
|
General Fund |
$300 |
$233 |
$214 |
|
Special funds |
269 |
248 |
211 |
|
Federal funds |
151 |
133 |
132 |
|
Bond funds |
1 |
171 |
76 |
|
Totals |
$721 |
$785 |
$633 |
Decline in Overall Spending Proposed for the Budget Year. A common trend shown in all three figures is lower proposed spending for 2026‑27 as compared to the current year—including a cumulative funding drop of nearly one‑third for CNRA departments across the two years. A few key reasons explain these year‑over‑year changes. First, the 2024‑25 and 2025‑26 totals include significant one‑time General Fund spending that the state dedicated for these departments a few years ago when it had surpluses. (The current‑year totals include some General Fund carried over from appropriations in prior years that departments are still in the process of spending.) Second, the 2025‑26 amounts similarly include notably more one‑time bond funds—reflecting $1.3 billion more in total appropriated from Proposition 4 (2024) as compared to what is proposed in 2026‑27, as well as funds carried over from other bonds (such as Proposition 68 [2018]) from appropriations made in prior years. Third, Figure 1 displays a sizeable year‑to‑year decline in federal funds for CNRA departments. The biggest component of this change is about $675 million less for the California Energy Commission (CEC) in 2026‑27, primarily due to a federal grant it received on a one‑time basis in 2025‑26 from the Grid Resilience and Innovation Partnership Program.
Totals for Some Departments Include Reductions From Position Eliminations That the Legislature Has Not Approved. The Governor’s budget reflects funding reductions for certain departments from permanently eliminating vacant positions. This is related to actions taken through Budget Control Section 4.12 in the 2024‑25 and 2025‑26 budget agreements, which we summarize in our webpost, The 2025‑26 Spending Plan: Other Provisions. However, the Legislature has not concurred with some of these position eliminations. As such, some of the funding totals displayed in the figures reflect reductions in both 2025‑26 and 2026‑27 to which the Legislature has not consented. This includes $11.3 million annually for the Department of Toxic Substances Control (DTSC), $11.2 million annually for the Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW), and $8.6 million annually for the Department of Parks and Recreation (Parks), among others. Please see our forthcoming publication, The 2026‑27 Budget: Proposed Elimination of State Environmental Positions, for a more in‑depth discussion of this issue.
Governor’s Overall Budget Approach Raises Serious Concerns. Consideration of the Governor’s specific natural resources, environmental protection, and agriculture proposals must take place against the backdrop of the larger budget condition and context. As we discuss in our recent publications, The 2026‑27 Budget: Overview of the Governor’s Budget and California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk, our office has identified three major concerns with the Governor’s overall budget approach.
Addressing Structural Deficits Will Be Very Challenging. A particularly daunting characteristic of the budget problem now facing the Legislature is that it has already taken a number of steps to address funding shortfalls in recent years using tools that are now largely unavailable or less feasible. In the environment area, for example, the Legislature was able to reduce spending by scaling back one‑time augmentations that had been provided or planned through “climate packages” adopted when the state was benefiting from pandemic‑era General Fund surpluses. Eliminating planned one‑time spending generally is less disruptive than cutting support for base, ongoing programs. However, nearly all of this one‑time funding has now been spent or committed to specific projects and thus cannot easily be pulled back. As such, bringing ongoing General Fund expenditures back into balance with revenues likely will involve even more difficult decisions and trade‑offs, such as reducing existing ongoing activities and/or raising revenues by increasing taxes and fees.
Administration Clearly Used Judicious Approach in Crafting 2026‑27 Environment Proposals. While we have concerns about the overall budget structure, the administration deserves credit for how it crafted its proposals for natural resources, environmental protection, and agriculture. Specifically, as we discuss below, the Governor’s budget contains a limited amount of new spending for these departments, and most of the proposals are primarily focused on pressing health and safety concerns. The administration clearly crafted these proposals with careful consideration of the budget condition in mind and by using a discerning set of standards. That said, the Legislature may choose to set its “bar” for approving funding for new activities at a different level—either because of differing priorities, or by necessity based on its overall strategy to address the evolving budget condition.
Even Proposals With Strong Justifications Come With Trade‑Offs. The Legislature may find it needs to approve some level of new expenditures—even from the General Fund—such as to address pressing health and safety concerns. However, in the context of a budget deficit, any new spending from the General Fund will essentially come at the expense of existing expenditures. That is, particularly in the case of new ongoing expenditures, the state ultimately will need to “make room” for new spending by reducing expenditures elsewhere in the budget or by raising new revenues. Even relatively minor new General Fund expenditures—especially those that are ongoing—will exacerbate out‑year structural deficits. We suggest the Legislature keep this larger context in mind as it weighs the merits of each new proposal.
Special Fund Proposals May Have Unique Considerations… As highlighted in Figure 1 and Figure 2, the General Fund is not the main source of support for most CNRA and CalEPA departments. In contrast, many of these departments are primarily supported by special funds (along with bonds and federal funds). Correspondingly, some of the Governor’s new spending proposals for these departments are from other fund sources and therefore would not have a direct impact on the General Fund condition. As such, the Legislature may want to apply a somewhat different lens when considering such proposals. For example, a proposal might fund a regulatory activity using a special fund that is structured specifically to ensure fee‑payers help support the regulation and mitigation of their industry’s environmental impacts. Such a proposal might be worthy of approving not only because it protects health and safety, but also because it avoids burdening the General Fund and follows the “polluter pays” principle. Similarly, spending proposals from Proposition 4 implement the will of the voters and will not have major immediate General Fund implications. (The General Fund eventually will need to pay for the debt service on bond spending over the course of the next few decades.)
…However, Bar for New Spending Should Be High Regardless of Fund Source. In some cases, the Legislature can use special funds to help address its budget problem and ensure its highest priorities are supported. For example, as we discuss in our companion publication, The 2026‑27 Budget: Cap‑and‑Invest Expenditure Plan, the Legislature has the option of using monies from the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) flexibly to support any purpose. As such, GGRF could be thought of akin to the General Fund and therefore should similarly be targeted for the state’s highest priorities (whether within the environmental sector or other policy areas). Depending on their balances and constraints, certain other special funds also can be tools to help address the budget deficit, such as by providing loans to the General Fund or taking on expenditures previously funded by the General Fund. To help avoid precluding these potential options, we recommend the Legislature apply a high bar to all new spending proposals, even if they do not come from the General Fund.
Strong Rationale for Taking Near‑Term Steps to Prepare Budget Contingencies. We urge the Legislature to start addressing the budget’s structural imbalance during this budget cycle. Starting now, before a crisis is at the state’s doorstep, would enable the Legislature to take a more thoughtful approach to rebalancing the state’s commitments, including soliciting public input and weighing trade‑offs and potential consequences of options being considered. Moreover, approaching the structural deficit in increments would allow the Legislature to ensure that solutions ultimately improve the state’s fiscal position as intended and allow for time to identify whether subsequent action is necessary. Being proactive about identifying preferred strategies also can help position the Legislature to respond quickly if needed. For example, if the state’s revenue outlook worsens during the budget year, the Legislature may need to consider adopting solutions in the middle of the fiscal year, without the benefit of the typical annual budget deliberation time frame and process. Taking steps to prepare early can help situate the Legislature for this potential, including developing detailed plans for how it will respond if or when the need arises.
Below, we offer a framework for approaching environment budget decisions in today’s challenging fiscal circumstances—namely, how to evaluate the Governor’s new spending proposals across CNRA, CalEPA, and CDFA in the context of a General Fund condition that is only precariously balanced in the near term and faces significant deficits in the coming years. Figure 4 summarizes the main components of this framework.
Figure 4
Recommended Framework for Approaching Environment Budget Decisions
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Apply a Very High Bar When Approving New Proposals |
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Reject Proposals That Fail to Meet This High Bar |
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Consider Modifying Proposals to Reduce Pressure on the General Fund |
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Take Steps to Address the Budget Condition |
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Ensure Remaining Expenditures Focus on the Most Important Activities |
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Although the Governor’s overall approach to new CNRA, CalEPA, and CDFA spending is relatively restrained given the state’s current fiscal outlook, the budget nevertheless proposes a number of new or expanded activities for these departments. In our view, the Legislature should apply a very high bar to such proposals, particularly in light of projected deficits and the need to balance new commitments against existing program obligations. To that end, we offer criteria the Legislature could use in reviewing these proposals. While the Legislature could select—and indeed may prefer—other criteria, the framework we suggest is intended to help differentiate proposals that address pressing, near‑term needs from those that are potentially less urgent, even when the latter might advance important policy objectives. We offer examples of proposals in the Governor’s budget for which we find a rationale that could justify approval, as well as some that we believe fail to reach this high threshold. We also highlight ways the Legislature could consider modifying certain proposals—such as by shifting their fund source or downsizing their scope—if it finds a compelling rationale for their support but is constrained by the General Fund condition. (Given their number, we do not discuss every environment‑related proposal from the Governor’s budget. Rather, we highlight some of the larger funding requests that we feel are helpful in illustrating our recommended framework. To the degree we have specific comments for the Legislature on other proposals, we will discuss them in separate publications.)
Additionally, we discuss steps the Legislature could take to reduce pressure on the General Fund, beyond just through the lens of considering the Governor’s new 2026‑27 proposals. Finally, after it has identified what level of funding its budget can support, we suggest the Legislature think about revisiting the mix of how those resources are dedicated to prioritize the most important activities.
Prioritize Proposals That Address Critical Health and Safety Concerns or Other Time‑Sensitive Objectives. In the context of a budget deficit, every dollar of new spending essentially comes at the expense of a previously identified priority and requires finding a commensurate level of solution somewhere within the budget. (This is true even under the Governor’s higher revenue projections, as the administration’s proposal includes actions to free up capacity for new spending proposals, including creating a settle‑up obligation for schools and community colleges and suspending a transfer to the state’s rainy day fund.) Given the serious budget challenges facing the state, we suggest the Legislature apply a high bar to its review of new spending proposals and be very selective in approving any of them. In our view, proposals merit consideration of budget‑year funding when they address a documented, significant, near‑term health and safety risk that potentially cannot be managed without additional resources, and/or conditions that could lead to irreversible implications if not funded. While other proposals also might warrant consideration because they offer longer‑term or protective health and safety benefits, they may not require immediate funding in the context of current budgetary constraints. Based on our assessment, we find evidence that a number of the Governor’s proposals address issues where additional resources might be needed to avoid higher future costs and/or serious harm. Some examples include the following.
The Governor’s budget includes a few proposals that do not address critical health and safety issues or pressing near‑term problems. Under different fiscal conditions, these activities might merit consideration because they advance various policy objectives, such as expanding public access to state parks or reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, based on our assessment, these proposals do not address urgent needs or mitigate near‑term risks. Given the state’s current budget condition and the limited capacity for supporting new commitments, we recommend that the Legislature reject the following proposals.
The Legislature may find itself in a position of having a compelling rationale for approving some of the Governor’s proposals—such as to respond to time‑sensitive health or safety concerns—but finding it challenging to do so given the budget condition. Below, we identify two ways the Legislature could modify proposals such that it could provide at least some level of support to pursue what it finds to be worthwhile objectives while still accommodating the state’s fiscal limitations. These include supporting activities with alternative funding sources and/or providing a lower level of funding than that proposed by the Governor. We also highlight examples and potential trade‑offs for each of these strategies.
Explore Options for Alternative Funding Sources. The Legislature could consider supporting some of the Governor’s proposals using funding sources other than the General Fund. Shifting fund sources could allow the Legislature to advance at least some of its intended objectives while limiting additional pressure on the General Fund. Pursuing this approach, however, would involve a number of trade‑offs. For example, funding activities through new or higher fees would shift costs to the individuals or entities paying those fees. In addition, replacing General Fund support with fee‑supported special funds could reduce flexibility and introduce specific statutory or programmatic conditions, potentially requiring changes to the scope or mix of which proposed activities could be implemented. Moreover, alternative funding sources may not be available at the same level as the Governor proposes and their use could require redirecting resources from other activities and priorities. Below are several examples of how the Legislature could consider applying this approach.
Consider Funding Priority Proposals at a Lower Level. Several of the Governor’s proposals involve activities that can be scaled up or down, with the level of funding determining the scope of work that can be undertaken. Providing less funding in 2026‑27 would still allow the Legislature to make progress toward its intended objectives, albeit at a lower level and slower pace. Clearly, such a choice would involve trade‑offs, including lower levels of service, fewer public health and safety improvements, and less risk mitigation. We discuss some options and resulting implications related to the Governor’s budget proposals below.
Given the fiscal challenges facing the state, the Legislature may need to take additional actions within the environment‑related section of the budget beyond just considering the proposals included in the Governor’s budget. Below, we discuss three approaches the Legislature could pursue to help address its overall budget condition.
Evaluate Whether Recent Augmentations and Agreements Still Represent Highest Priorities. Given the difficult choices it faces in crafting this year’s budget, the Legislature may wish to reassess whether recent augmentations and previous agreements continue to reflect its highest priorities. Often, discontinuing or scaling back new activities that are still in the process of expanding or being implemented can be done without too much disruption. To the extent the Legislature identifies areas of previously approved spending that could be reduced, delayed, or eliminated, doing so could free up resources to help address the budget shortfall and/or to redirect toward more pressing concerns. For example, the Legislature could consider reducing funding for existing commitments to enable it to support some of the new health and safety‑related proposals described above. Some of the recent augmentations the Legislature could consider pausing or rolling back include the following.
Begin the Process of Identifying Potential Additional Budget Solutions. Given projections of significant budget deficits in the out‑years as well as downside risks associated with budget‑year revenue forecasts, we recommend the Legislature use the spring budget process—including budget subcommittee hearings—to begin identifying potential additional budget solutions. These options could include further limitations on new spending, reducing previously approved augmentations and existing funding, or adopting new or higher fees or charges. Some approaches—particularly raising new revenues—could require lead time to design and implement. Accordingly, starting these discussions and planning efforts now would increase the likelihood that any resulting fiscal benefits could be realized more quickly and when needed.
Avoid Adopting Policies That Will Create Additional Out‑Year Budget Pressures. We recommend the Legislature exercise caution when considering policies that would add new ongoing state spending commitments. Even policies with relatively modest budget‑year costs can grow over time, limiting future budgetary flexibility and exacerbating the state’s structural imbalance. As a result, avoiding approval of policies and proposals that would increase out‑year spending until the state’s fiscal outlook improves would be prudent. Below are two examples for the Legislature to consider.
Consider Revisiting Mix of Remaining Funding to Ensure it Supports the State’s Highest Priorities. In times of budget surplus, the state is able to dedicate new funding to create or expand a broad array of priority activities. However, when the budget is facing a deficit, not every desired activity can be supported, and certain worthwhile activities likely will have to be defunded. As such, in tandem with making budget reductions, we recommend the Legislature identify which activities are most important to receive remaining funding. Specifically, to the degree the Legislature is concerned that particular activities are not receiving adequate levels of support to meet its most important objectives within the overall levels of funding its budget can accommodate, it could take another look at existing program structures and funding allocations and potentially change the mix. This could include targeting funding to support communities that are most vulnerable or at risk, or activities that focus on the most time‑sensitive pressing concerns. Some examples might include the following.
The Legislature is facing difficult budget decisions this year. California has numerous goals and challenges in the environmental space—including pursuing its ambitious greenhouse gas reduction goals; reducing the health and safety risks posed by climate impacts such as heat, wildfires, and floods; protecting vulnerable communities burdened by pollution; and preserving the state’s biodiversity in the face of warming temperatures and changing climactic conditions. Yet while the state continues its efforts to make progress on these objectives, it does so within the context of significant budget challenges that will force it to grapple with difficult decisions about preserving other core services upon which Californians depend—such as education, health care, social services, and public safety. Moreover, the Legislature must make these choices within an uncertain and evolving economic backdrop and while responding to changing policies and reduced funding support from the federal government. A key task before the Legislature is to identify the state’s most important priorities that can be supported by the level of available resources—which likely will require a scaling back of some worthwhile and important activities. The challenge is daunting. However, failing to confront the fiscal realities and delaying action for too long could make the choices and trade‑offs even more difficult.