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Letter

LAO's Critique of the AB 32 Scoping Plan Economic Analysis

November 21, 2008 - We were asked to report on the draft scoping plan of the Air Resources Board (ARB) for implementation of the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (Chapter 488, Statutes of 2006 [AB 32, Núñez]). We conclude that (1) the scoping plan’s overall emissions reductions and purported net economic benefit are highly reliant on one measure—the Pavley regulations, (2) the plan’s evaluation of the costs and savings of some recommended measures is inconsistent and incomplete, (3) Macroeconomic modeling results show a slight net economic benefit to the plan, but ARB failed to demonstrate the analytical rigor of its findings, (4) economic analysis played a limited role in development of scoping plan, and (5) despite its prediction of eventual net economic benefit, the scoping plan fails to lay out an investment pathway to reach its goals for GHG emissions levels in 2020.


Report

California's Fiscal Outlook: LAO Projections 2008-09 Through 2013-14

November 20, 2008 - The state’s struggling economy has severely reduced expected revenues. Combined with rising state expenses, we project that the state will need $27.8 billion in budget solutions over the 2008-09 and 2009-10 fiscal years. The state’s revenue collapse is so dramatic and the underlying economic factors are so weak that we forecast huge budget shortfalls through 2013-14 absent corrective action. From 2010-11 through 2013-14, we project annual shortfalls that are consistently in the range of $22 billion. Closing a projected $28 billion budget shortfall will be a monumental task. We believe the Legislature must take major ongoing actions by both reducing base spending and increasing revenues. If the Legislature has any hope of developing a fiscally responsible 2009–10 budget, it must begin laying the groundwork now.


Other

Webcast: LAO Assessment of the 2008 Special Session Proposals

November 11, 2008 - Mac Taylor discusses the LAO's Overview of the 2008 Special Session Proposals.


Report

Overview of the 2008 Special Session Proposals

November 10, 2008 - We concur with the administration’s assessment that the state’s struggling economy signals a major reduction in expected revenues. Combined with rising state expenses, we project that the state will need $27.8 billion in budget solutions over the next 20 months. The state’s revenue collapse is so dramatic and the underlying economic factors are so weak that we forecast huge budget shortfalls through 2013‑14 absent corrective action. From 2010‑11 through 2013‑14, we project annual shortfalls that are consistently in the range of $22 billion.


Report

California Spending Plan 2008-09: The Budget Act and Related Legislation

November 1, 2008 - The state’s already difficult budget situation was made worse this year by a significant drop in revenues due to a sluggish economy. The enacted budget, combined with special session actions in February 2008, contains about $24 billion in solutions and projects a General Fund reserve of $1.7 billion. Overall, the state spending plan for 2008–09 includes total budget expenditures of $131.6 billion. This includes $103.4 billion from the General Fund and $28.2 billion from special funds. Total state spending declines slightly by $511 million from 2007–08 (0.4 percent). Bond fund spending is expected to increase by 1.3 percent, as the state continues to allocate funds from the $43 billion bond package approved at the November 2006 election.


Report

Major Features of the 2008 California Budget (Not Published in 2008)

November 1, 2008 - We did not publish a Major Features report in 2008. The links above will open instead the California Spending Plan 2008-09: The Budget Act and Related Legislation, published in November, 2008, which provides similar information in more detail.


Handout

State Funding For Transportation

October 31, 2008 - Presented to: Assembly Transportation Committee


Report

California’s Water: An LAO Primer

October 20, 2008 - California’s water delivery system is facing a series of challenges due in part to a combination of increasingly variable weather conditions, legal requirements, and system operation and conveyance constraints. These challenges affect water availability, reliability, and delivery. Recent public and private efforts have sought ways to address these challenges. These measures include proposals to increase water through groundwater storage, surface storage, infrastructure changes, and system operation improvements, among others. This report provides, through a “quick reference” document relying heavily on charts to present information, a snapshot of water in California, including: (1) An Overview of California’s Water Governance; (2) Water Supply, Source, and Delivery; (3) How Do We Finance Water Projects? (4) What Drives the Cost of Water?, and (5) Issues for Legislative Consideration


Report

Supplemental Report of the 2008 Budget Act: 2008-09 Fiscal Year (updated)

October 8, 2008 - Statements of intent for requests for studies adopted by the Legislature as a supplement to the 2008 Budget Act. (This report was updated on October 8, 2008, to reflect Errata language.)


Handout

Proposition 6: Police and Law Enforcement Funding. Criminal Penalties and Laws: Safe Neighborhoods Act

September 25, 2008 - Presented to: Senate Public Safety Committee Hon. Gloria Romero, Chair Assembly Public Safety Committee Hon. Jose Solorio, Chair


Handout

Proposition 5: Nonviolent Drug Offenses. Sentencing. Parole and Rehabilitation. Initiative Statute.

September 23, 2008 - Presented to: Senate Public Safety Committee, Hon. Gloria Romero, Chair and Assembly Public Safety Committee, Hon. Jose Solorio, Chair


Handout

Proposition 9: Victim's Bill of Rights Act of 2008: Marsy's Law

September 23, 2008 - Presented to the Assembly and Senate Public Safety Committees


Handout

Overview of Proposition 4: Parental Notification for Minors' Abortions

September 16, 2008 - Presented to Assembly and Senate Health Committees


Handout

Proposition 10—The California Renewable Energy and Clean Alternative Fuel Act (Bond Measure)

September 11, 2008 - Presented to Assembly Committee on Natural Resources, Assembly Committee on Utilities and Commerce, Senate Committee on Energy, Utilities and Communications


Handout

Proposition 7—The Solar and Clean Energy Act of 2008

September 11, 2008 - Presented to Assembly Committee on Natural Resources, Assembly Committee on Utilities and Commerce, Senate Committee on Energy, Utilities and Communications